Evidence: risk

15 articles. Distilled findings; bold = already cited in the docs.

Global rangeland degradation and desertification (news) — A new United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) report finds that up to 50 percent of Earth's rangelands, which cover over half of the land surface, are now degraded, and that…
Record atmospheric CO2 increase 2024 (news) — NOAA scientists report that atmospheric carbon dioxide rose by a record amount in 2024, with the annual average at Mauna Loa Observatory reaching 424.61 ppm, the highest on record. Scientists…
Arctic tundra carbon emissions (news) — A federal report finds that the Arctic tundra, historically a carbon sink, has become a net source of planet-warming emissions. Rising temperatures are thawing permafrost, which releases trapped…
[cited] Extreme heat risk in Europe (news) (needs verification) — Europe is experiencing its second extreme heatwave in two months, with temperatures above 44°C, red heat alerts across several countries, and reported drownings and heat-related deaths. The article…
[cited] Peatland restoration for climate mitigation (news) — Dr Peter Jones, nicknamed 'The Bogfather,' has spent 30 years restoring peatlands in Wales, which store 30% of the nation's land-based carbon despite covering only 4% of its surface. Around 90% of…
EU nature restoration plans and funding (news) — EU countries must submit draft nature restoration plans to the European Commission by 1 September, following a summer of record heatwaves, wildfires, and drought. Researchers from Biodiversa+ argue…
El Nino heat-related mortality projections (news) — Researchers at the University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab estimate that the unusually high temperatures linked to the current El Nino could cause about 451,000 excess deaths worldwide between…
Marine heatwaves and European fisheries (news) — European seas recorded their hottest summer months since reliable satellite data began in 1982, with the Bay of Biscay logging 186 marine heatwave days by late August, more than three out of every…
Record global ocean temperatures 2026 (news) (needs verification) — On 21 June 2026, the Copernicus Marine Service measured a global average sea surface temperature of 21.0°C, and the Copernicus Climate Change Service independently recorded a new daily high for that…
Hurricane Isaias Gulf Coast landfall (news) — Hurricane Isaias made landfall near Destin, Florida, as a category 2 storm with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph, after weakening from major hurricane status. It brought damaging winds, flooding,…
Tropical Storm Isaias and El Niño (news) (needs verification) — Tropical Storm Isaias formed off eastern Mexico on Wednesday and is forecast to become the first Atlantic hurricane of the season since 1905, possibly reaching major Category 3 strength before…
North Atlantic marine heatwave extremes (study) (needs verification) — The study uses ensemble boosting on a coupled Earth system model to generate physically consistent alternative evolutions of the 2023 North Atlantic marine heatwave. The boosted ensemble produced…
Subsurface-intensified marine heatwaves (study) (needs verification) — This study uses reanalysis data to examine subsurface-intensified (Type-1) and surface (Type-2) marine heatwaves in tropical oceans. Type-1 events are more frequent, concentrated near the equator,…
U.S. sea level rise projections (study) (needs verification) — This NOAA-published report, produced by the U.S. Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flood Hazard Scenarios and Tools Interagency Task Force, projects sea level rise to 2150 by decade, including vertical land…
Compound coastal flooding under climate change (study) (needs verification) — This study examines how compound coastal flooding, driven by concurrent precipitation and storm surge along the Pacific coast of North America, may change under RCP8.5 climate projections through…