Risk
Name what could derail the project, and decide how you would respond before it happens. Keep a short, living register rather than a thick document no one reads.
Where the risks sit
- Ecological: drought, fire, pests and disease, planting failure. Fire in particular drives site and species choices in dry regions (fire-resilient forests in Iberia, news). European summers are trending hotter and drier, which sharpens both (Europe's new heat normal, news).
- Financial: funding falling short, costs running over, income arriving slower than hoped.
- Operational: founder burnout, too little time, missing skills.
- Legal and site: losing access, permit problems, contamination found late.
- External: climate extremes, policy shifts, market changes.
How to handle each
For each real risk, note how likely it is, how much it would hurt, your response (avoid, reduce, accept, or pass it on), and a signal to watch for. Review the list on a regular cycle.
Be honest about which risks are large. For a small project the everyday threats, money running out and the founders wearing down, usually matter more than dramatic but rare events.